Daily Replay · Sep 1, 2026

What the bot did vs what it should have done

38
News received
34
FN decisions
4
Trades taken
8
Missed flagged
38
Backtrack events
6
Slippage rows
0
Paper fills
5.16%
Avg premium expansion
Reject reasons

4 reason types

ReasonCount
impact_below_threshold 23
underlying_reaction_disagrees 6
direction_no_trade 3
duplicate_headline 2
Validation & P/L

Replay engine health

  • Actual bot P/L: $-9,262.00
  • Validation tests: 10/10
  • AI learning promote: Review recommended
  • Generated: Sep 1, 2026 6:45 PM EDT
  • Top errors:
  • • mp_paper_source_label_gap
Missed Fast News (sample)

Showing 4 of 4

TickerReject / reasonHeadlineLesson
SPY missed_due_to_scanner_gap_or_no_decision Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow Futures Drop After Trump Says Iran Is 'Totally Defeated', Brent Tops $92 — CBRS, PXS, P
A missed_due_to_scanner_gap_or_no_decision "Oil Giant Chevron Is Said To Be In Talks To Expand In Venezuela; Chevron, The Second Largest U.S. Oil Company, Is Build
A missed_due_to_scanner_gap_or_no_decision HP Enterprise Stock at a Crossroads: Earnings Could Trigger a Big Move
A missed_due_to_scanner_gap_or_no_decision Oracle at a Crossroads: Big Earnings Could Trigger Massive Swing
Missed A+ setups

4 setup(s)

TickerDirectionStatusNotes
INTC CALL paper_exited premarket_setup_not_confirmed_no_a_plus_entry
USO PUT paper_exited premarket_setup_not_confirmed_no_a_plus_entry
JETS CALL paper_exited premarket_setup_not_confirmed_no_a_plus_entry
AAPL CALL paper_exited premarket_setup_not_confirmed_no_a_plus_entry
Learning candidates

Not auto-applied — review only

  • Reject reason 'impact_below_threshold' occurred 23 times on 2026-09-01
  • Reject reason 'underlying_reaction_disagrees' occurred 6 times on 2026-09-01
  • Reject reason 'direction_no_trade' occurred 3 times on 2026-09-01
  • missed_due_to_scanner_gap: add category or source for: oil_supply_or_geopolitical_shock, general_catalyst, general_catalyst, general_catalyst
  • AMD had intraday confirmation window 10:09:00–10:10:00 (stored replay)

Multiple validated patterns detected — review before promoting to AI rules.

Dev action items

Auto-generated notes

# Dev action items — 2026-09-01

## Detected errors
- **mp_paper_source_label_gap**: mp_paper_closed=4 mp_paper_fills=8 but trade_executions=0 trade_exits=0 (MP ledger is authoritative; legacy tables empty)

## Top reject reasons
- `impact_below_threshold`: 23
- `underlying_reaction_disagrees`: 6
- `direction_no_trade`: 3
- `duplicate_headline`: 2

## Learning candidates (not auto-applied)
- Reject reason 'impact_below_threshold' occurred 23 times on 2026-09-01
- Reject reason 'underlying_reaction_disagrees' occurred 6 times on 2026-09-01
- Reject reason 'direction_no_trade' occurred 3 times on 2026-09-01
- missed_due_to_scanner_gap: add category or source for: oil_supply_or_geopolitical_shock, general_catalyst, general_catalyst, general_catalyst
- AMD had intraday confirmation window 10:09:00–10:10:00 (stored replay)
- AMD replay final monitor status: pending_vwap_confirmation
- AVGO had intraday confirmation window 09:45:00–09:46:00 (stored replay)
- AVGO replay final monitor status: pending_vwap_confirmation
- ARM had intraday confirmation window 10:09:00–10:10:00 (stored replay)
- ARM replay final monitor status: pending_vwap_confirmation
- JETS had intraday confirmation window 09:45:00–09:47:00 (stored replay)
- JETS replay final monitor status: reject_vwap
- DAL replay final monitor status: reject_vwap
- INTC had intraday confirmation window 09:45:00–09:47:00 (stored replay)
- INTC replay final monitor status: pending_vwap_confirmation
- USO had intraday confirmation window 10:02:00–11:20:00 (stored replay)
- USO replay final monitor status: reject_vwap
- AAPL had intraday confirmation window 09:44:00–09:53:00 (stored replay)
- AAPL replay final monitor status: confirmed
- MRVL had intraday confirmation window 10:09:00–10:10:00 (stored replay)
- MRVL replay final monitor status: pending_vwap_confirmation
- SMCI had intraday confirmation window 09:45:00–09:46:00 (stored replay)
- SMCI replay final monitor status: pending_vwap_confirmation
- XLE had intraday confirmation window 09:37:00–09:38:00 (stored replay)
- XLE replay final monitor status: reject_vwap
- NVDA had intraday confirmation window 10:09:00–10:10:00 (stored replay)
- NVDA replay final monitor status: reject_vwap
- MU had intraday confirmation window 10:09:00–10:10:00 (stored replay)
- MU replay final monitor status: reject_vwap
- TSM had intraday confirmation window 11:02:00–11:03:00 (stored replay)
- TSM replay final monitor status: reject_vwap

## Next steps
1. Review missed_fast_news entries in missed_opportunities JSON
2. Tune NEWS_FEED_DELAY_SECONDS / sandbox grace if news_stale dominates
3. Promote learning rules only after 3+ validated days